Istituto Nazionale di
Geofisica e Vulcanologia

Analyses and statistical modeling of volcanic processes

• Analyses of catalogs in order to study the temporal and/or size distribution of eruptions (e.g., time or size predictable models);  
• ETAS models for explaining the main features of seismic swarms recorded at volcanic sites, in order to constrain the origin mechanism (for example, magma uprise or hydrothermal circulation) and to study their temporal evolution;
  
•  Bayesian hierarchical models for the characterization of inter-event times and erupted volumes observed at a given volcano;
• Pattern Recognition analysis on volcanic catalogs in order to (i) find common and recurrent features in different volcanic areas of the world, and (ii) characterize the seismicity observed during explosive eruptions.
• Volcanic hazard assessment and development of probabilistic methods for forecasting both eruptions and their potential impact on the territory (BET_EF and BET_VH codes).
• Quantitative studies in order to validate the hypothesis of spatio-temporal interaction between large tectonic earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, both in retrospective and forward testing.

ATTENZIONE! si informa che INGV non fornisce nessun servizio di previsione sismica

• Climate
• Oceanography
• Seismology
• Volcanology
• Projects
• Publications

• Statistical modeling
• Theoretical and numerical modeling